QQQ (NASDAQ-100) has stronger seasonal swings than SPY due to tech concentration.
Historical Monthly Performance
| Month | Avg Return | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | +2.3% | 55% |
| Feb | +0.5% | 55% |
| Mar | +1.9% | 62% |
| Apr | +2.8% | 70% |
| May | +1.5% | 58% |
| Jun | +1.2% | 58% |
| Jul | +3.8% | 72% |
| Aug | -0.5% | 48% |
| Sep | -1.2% | 45% |
| Oct | +2.5% | 65% |
| Nov | +3.5% | 75% |
| Dec | +1.1% | 60% |
Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Tech-Specific Drivers
- Earnings season: Tech giants report last
- Guidance matters: Forward looks drive Q4
- Summer lull: Enterprise buying pause
Historical Patterns to Watch
- October has historically seen pullbacks that precede strength
- November has historically been one of the strongest months
- August/September have historically shown weakness
- July has historically been a strong month for tech
QQQ vs SPY
- QQQ more volatile
- Tech momentum creates sharper moves
- Seasonality patterns align but amplified
This is statistical analysis of historical data, not investment advice. Always do your own research.
Generated with SeasOptima.
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