USD/JPY shows strong seasonal patterns tied to Japanese fiscal year.
Historical Monthly Performance
| Month | Avg Return | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | -0.5% | 48% |
| Feb | +0.3% | 55% |
| Mar | -0.8% | 42% |
| Apr | +1.1% | 62% |
| May | +0.9% | 58% |
| Jun | +0.5% | 55% |
| Jul | -0.4% | 48% |
| Aug | -0.9% | 42% |
| Sep | +0.6% | 55% |
| Oct | +0.8% | 58% |
| Nov | +0.4% | 55% |
| Dec | +0.2% | 52% |
Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Key Drivers
- Japanese fiscal year: Ends March 31 (repatriation)
- Bank of Japan meetings: Policy divergence
- Risk-on/off sentiment: JPY as safe haven
Historically Strongest Periods
- April-May: Has historically seen post-fiscal year dollar strength
- October: Has historically shown autumn trend patterns
- March: Has historically been influenced by Japanese repatriation flows
Historical Context
USD/JPY has historically tended to move inversely to the S&P 500 during risk-off periods.
This is statistical analysis of historical data, not investment advice. Always do your own research.
Generated with SeasOptima.
Ready to analyze seasonality?
Start exploring seasonal patterns for any stock, commodity, or forex pair with SeasOptima's powerful analysis tools.
Try SeasOptima Free