Tesla has distinct seasonal tendencies tied to delivery reports and earnings.
Historical Monthly Performance
| Month | Avg Return | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | -2.8% | 42% |
| Feb | +4.5% | 58% |
| Mar | -1.2% | 50% |
| Apr | +5.8% | 67% |
| May | +3.2% | 60% |
| Jun | +1.5% | 55% |
| Jul | +8.3% | 70% |
| Aug | -1.8% | 42% |
| Sep | -4.2% | 33% |
| Oct | +2.1% | 55% |
| Nov | +9.6% | 75% |
| Dec | +2.4% | 55% |
Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Key Catalyst Dates
- Quarterly delivery reports: Early month of Jan/Apr/Jul/Oct
- Earnings releases: Mid-late month of Jan/Apr/Jul/Oct
- Model announcements: Variable, often spring
Historical Patterns to Watch
- Late June has historically been a favorable period ahead of Q2 deliveries
- Late October has historically shown strength ahead of Q4 momentum
- September has historically been the weakest month
- November has historically been the strongest month
This is statistical analysis of historical data, not investment advice. Always do your own research.
Generated with SeasOptima.
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