United States Oil Fund (USO)
Seasonality Analysis
United States Oil Fund Annual Seasonality Statistics
United States Oil Fund Monthly Seasonality Performance
| Month | Avg Return | Win Rate | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 8.27% | Very Strong | |
| February | 5.62% | Strong | |
| March BEST | 9.51% | Strong | |
| April | 0.48% | Weak | |
| May | -0.37% | Weak | |
| June | 3.80% | Very Strong | |
| July | 2.77% | Strong | |
| August | -0.64% | Very Weak | |
| September | -1.06% | Very Weak | |
| October | -0.08% | Weak | |
| November WORST | -1.96% | Very Weak | |
| December | 3.80% | Weak |
United States Oil Fund 2026 vs Historical Pattern
United States Oil Fund Interactive Seasonality Chart
United States Oil Fund Pattern Scanner
United States Oil Fund Seasonal Historical Performance
About United States Oil Fund (USO) Seasonality
USO, which tracks front-month WTI crude oil futures, shows a clear late-winter pattern over the past 6 years: January has been positive in every year on record (+8.27%), with March (+9.51%) and February also strong as refiners position ahead of the driving season. November has been the weakest month at -1.96%, positive only 17% of years. USO averaged +31.49% annually over this recent stretch, though six years is a short window for an instrument as volatile as oil.
United States Oil Fund Seasonality FAQ
What is the best month to buy United States Oil Fund (USO)?
Historically, March has been the best month for United States Oil Fund, with an average return of 9.51% and a win rate of 67%. However, past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is the worst month for United States Oil Fund (USO)?
Based on historical data, November has been the weakest month for United States Oil Fund, with an average return of -1.96%. This is a historical observation and does not guarantee future results.
How reliable is USO seasonality data?
The seasonality analysis for United States Oil Fund is based on 6 years of historical price data. While seasonal patterns can provide useful insights, they should be combined with other forms of analysis. Past patterns do not guarantee future performance.
How can I use United States Oil Fund seasonality in my trading?
Use United States Oil Fund (USO) seasonality as one factor in your analysis. Identify historically strong and weak months, combine with other research methods. SeasOptima provides premium tools including interactive charts, pattern scanning, and historical performance data for deeper analysis.