Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC) Common Units of fractional undivided beneficial interest (GBTC)
Seasonality Analysis
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC) Common Units of fractional undivided beneficial interest Annual Seasonality Statistics
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC) Common Units of fractional undivided beneficial interest Monthly Seasonality Performance
| Month | Avg Return | Win Rate | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | -4.82% | Very Weak | |
| February | 7.42% | Weak | |
| March | -1.12% | Very Weak | |
| April | 10.03% | Moderate | |
| May | 1.61% | Weak | |
| June | -1.35% | Very Weak | |
| July | 7.31% | Moderate | |
| August | -3.04% | Very Weak | |
| September WORST | -5.23% | Very Weak | |
| October BEST | 11.06% | Moderate | |
| November | 1.54% | Weak | |
| December | -1.13% | Very Weak |
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC) Common Units of fractional undivided beneficial interest 2026 vs Historical Pattern
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC) Common Units of fractional undivided beneficial interest Interactive Seasonality Chart
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC) Common Units of fractional undivided beneficial interest Pattern Scanner
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC) Common Units of fractional undivided beneficial interest Seasonal Historical Performance
About Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC) Common Units of fractional undivided beneficial interest (GBTC) Seasonality
GBTC (Grayscale Bitcoin Trust), now a U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF, is the longest-running Bitcoin vehicle and the best available proxy for Bitcoin seasonality over 12 years. October stands out - the well-known "Uptober" effect - at +11.06%, with April and February also strong, while September (-5.23%) has historically been the weak month. One caveat: for much of its history GBTC traded at a large premium or discount to its Bitcoin holdings (only converging when it converted to an ETF in 2024), so its monthly figures reflect that distortion alongside Bitcoin's own moves; a low 38% monthly win rate underscores Bitcoin's extreme volatility.
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC) Common Units of fractional undivided beneficial interest Seasonality FAQ
What is the best month to buy Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC) Common Units of fractional undivided beneficial interest (GBTC)?
Historically, October has been the best month for Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC) Common Units of fractional undivided beneficial interest, with an average return of 11.06% and a win rate of 55%. However, past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is the worst month for Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC) Common Units of fractional undivided beneficial interest (GBTC)?
Based on historical data, September has been the weakest month for Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC) Common Units of fractional undivided beneficial interest, with an average return of -5.23%. This is a historical observation and does not guarantee future results.
How reliable is GBTC seasonality data?
The seasonality analysis for Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC) Common Units of fractional undivided beneficial interest is based on 12 years of historical price data. While seasonal patterns can provide useful insights, they should be combined with other forms of analysis. Past patterns do not guarantee future performance.
How can I use Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC) Common Units of fractional undivided beneficial interest seasonality in my trading?
Use Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC) Common Units of fractional undivided beneficial interest (GBTC) seasonality as one factor in your analysis. Identify historically strong and weak months, combine with other research methods. SeasOptima provides premium tools including interactive charts, pattern scanning, and historical performance data for deeper analysis.