30-Year Treasury (^TYX)
Seasonality Analysis
US 30-year bond yield
30-Year Treasury Annual Seasonality Statistics
30-Year Treasury Monthly Seasonality Performance
| Month | Avg Return | Win Rate | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | -0.03% | Weak | |
| February | 0.35% | Weak | |
| March | 0.34% | Moderate | |
| April | 2.04% | Moderate | |
| May | -0.72% | Weak | |
| June | -0.95% | Very Weak | |
| July | -1.41% | Very Weak | |
| August WORST | -2.27% | Very Weak | |
| September | 0.92% | Moderate | |
| October BEST | 3.23% | Strong | |
| November | -1.61% | Very Weak | |
| December | -0.06% | Weak |
30-Year Treasury 2026 vs Historical Pattern
30-Year Treasury Interactive Seasonality Chart
30-Year Treasury Pattern Scanner
30-Year Treasury Seasonal Historical Performance
About 30-Year Treasury (^TYX) Seasonality
30-Year Treasury (^TYX) has been analyzed using 27 years of historical data to identify seasonal patterns. Classified under Bonds, 30-Year Treasury shows distinct seasonal tendencies based on historical data.
The strongest month for 30-Year Treasury is historically October, with an average return of 3.23% and a win rate of 65%. Conversely, August tends to be the weakest month, averaging -2.27% return.
Looking at the full calendar year, 30-Year Treasury has an average annual return of -0.15% with an overall monthly win rate of 46.4%. Out of 12 months, 5 typically show positive average returns.
The seasonal pattern for 30-Year Treasury has a consistency score of 38.3 (Poor), based on 27 years of data. Higher consistency means the seasonal pattern has been more reliable across different market conditions.
30-Year Treasury Seasonality FAQ
What is the best month to buy 30-Year Treasury (^TYX)?
Historically, October has been the best month for 30-Year Treasury, with an average return of 3.23% and a win rate of 65%. However, past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is the worst month for 30-Year Treasury (^TYX)?
Based on historical data, August has been the weakest month for 30-Year Treasury, with an average return of -2.27%. This is a historical observation and does not guarantee future results.
How reliable is ^TYX seasonality data?
The seasonality analysis for 30-Year Treasury is based on 27 years of historical price data. While seasonal patterns can provide useful insights, they should be combined with other forms of analysis. Past patterns do not guarantee future performance.
How can I use 30-Year Treasury seasonality in my trading?
Use 30-Year Treasury (^TYX) seasonality as one factor in your analysis. Identify historically strong and weak months, combine with other research methods. SeasOptima provides premium tools including interactive charts, pattern scanning, and historical performance data for deeper analysis.