Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF (VGSH)
Seasonality Analysis
Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF Annual Seasonality Statistics
Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF Monthly Seasonality Performance
| Month | Avg Return | Win Rate | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| January BEST | 0.24% | Moderate | |
| February | 0.03% | Moderate | |
| March | 0.15% | Moderate | |
| April | 0.12% | Moderate | |
| May | 0.23% | Moderate | |
| June | 0.08% | Weak | |
| July | 0.19% | Moderate | |
| August | 0.14% | Moderate | |
| September | -0.01% | Very Weak | |
| October | -0.02% | Weak | |
| November | 0.13% | Moderate | |
| December WORST | -0.12% | Very Weak |
Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF 2026 vs Historical Pattern
Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF Interactive Seasonality Chart
Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF Pattern Scanner
Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF Seasonal Historical Performance
About Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF (VGSH) Seasonality
Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF (VGSH) has been analyzed using 17 years of historical data to identify seasonal patterns. Classified under ETFs, Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF shows distinct seasonal tendencies based on historical data.
The strongest month for Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF is historically January, with an average return of 0.24% and a win rate of 76%. Conversely, December tends to be the weakest month, averaging -0.12% return.
Looking at the full calendar year, Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF has an average annual return of 1.14% with an overall monthly win rate of 58.5%. Out of 12 months, 9 typically show positive average returns.
The seasonal pattern for Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF has a consistency score of 40.7 (Poor), based on 18 years of data. Higher consistency means the seasonal pattern has been more reliable across different market conditions.
Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF Seasonality FAQ
What is the best month to buy Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF (VGSH)?
Historically, January has been the best month for Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF, with an average return of 0.24% and a win rate of 76%. However, past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is the worst month for Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF (VGSH)?
Based on historical data, December has been the weakest month for Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF, with an average return of -0.12%. This is a historical observation and does not guarantee future results.
How reliable is VGSH seasonality data?
The seasonality analysis for Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF is based on 17 years of historical price data. While seasonal patterns can provide useful insights, they should be combined with other forms of analysis. Past patterns do not guarantee future performance.
How can I use Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF seasonality in my trading?
Use Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF (VGSH) seasonality as one factor in your analysis. Identify historically strong and weak months, combine with other research methods. SeasOptima provides premium tools including interactive charts, pattern scanning, and historical performance data for deeper analysis.