Professional Seasonal Analysis for Trading

Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF (VMBS)

Seasonality Analysis

ETFs 17 Years Analyzed

Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF Annual Seasonality Statistics

1.31%
Avg Annual Return
57.1%
Avg Monthly Win Rate
7/12
Positive Months
17
Years Analyzed

Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF Monthly Seasonality Performance

Month Avg Return Win Rate Strength
January 0.47%
76%
Moderate
February -0.08%
53%
Weak
March 0.10%
53%
Moderate
April -0.01%
65%
Weak
May 0.39%
69%
Moderate
June 0.10%
50%
Weak
July BEST 0.62%
81%
Moderate
August 0.09%
69%
Moderate
September -0.26%
50%
Weak
October WORST -0.34%
31%
Very Weak
November 0.51%
53%
Moderate
December -0.29%
35%
Very Weak

Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF 2026 vs Historical Pattern

Current Position
45.58
Historical Avg Position
55.37
Deviation
-9.79
Performance
Below Average

Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF Interactive Seasonality Chart

Interactive Seasonality Chart

Unlock the full interactive seasonality chart for VMBS with overlay patterns, custom date ranges, and more.

Create Free Account

Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF Pattern Scanner

Pattern Scanner

Discover recurring patterns, anomalies, and statistically frequent setups.

Create Free Account

Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF Seasonal Historical Performance

Historical Performance

See historical average returns for VMBS across multiple timeframes.

Create Free Account

About Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF (VMBS) Seasonality

Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF (VMBS) has been analyzed using 17 years of historical data to identify seasonal patterns. Classified under ETFs, Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF shows distinct seasonal tendencies based on historical data.

The strongest month for Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF is historically July, with an average return of 0.62% and a win rate of 81%. Conversely, October tends to be the weakest month, averaging -0.34% return.

Looking at the full calendar year, Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF has an average annual return of 1.31% with an overall monthly win rate of 57.1%. Out of 12 months, 7 typically show positive average returns.

The seasonal pattern for Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF has a consistency score of 40.4 (Poor), based on 18 years of data. Higher consistency means the seasonal pattern has been more reliable across different market conditions.

Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF Seasonality FAQ

What is the best month to buy Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF (VMBS)?

Historically, July has been the best month for Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF, with an average return of 0.62% and a win rate of 81%. However, past performance does not guarantee future results.

What is the worst month for Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF (VMBS)?

Based on historical data, October has been the weakest month for Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF, with an average return of -0.34%. This is a historical observation and does not guarantee future results.

How reliable is VMBS seasonality data?

The seasonality analysis for Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF is based on 17 years of historical price data. While seasonal patterns can provide useful insights, they should be combined with other forms of analysis. Past patterns do not guarantee future performance.

How can I use Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF seasonality in my trading?

Use Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF (VMBS) seasonality as one factor in your analysis. Identify historically strong and weak months, combine with other research methods. SeasOptima provides premium tools including interactive charts, pattern scanning, and historical performance data for deeper analysis.

More ETFs Seasonality Analysis

Statistical information based on historical data. Does not constitute investment advice or recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results.