Professional Seasonal Analysis for Trading

Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF (BLV)

Seasonality Analysis

ETFs 20 Years Analyzed

Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF Annual Seasonality Statistics

4.01%
Avg Annual Return
57.6%
Avg Monthly Win Rate
8/12
Positive Months
20
Years Analyzed

Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF Monthly Seasonality Performance

Month Avg Return Win Rate Strength
January 0.75%
63%
Moderate
February -0.41%
53%
Weak
March 0.35%
53%
Moderate
April 0.11%
70%
Moderate
May 0.62%
68%
Moderate
June 0.61%
58%
Moderate
July BEST 1.73%
79%
Strong
August 0.92%
58%
Moderate
September -0.53%
42%
Weak
October WORST -1.48%
37%
Very Weak
November 1.52%
74%
Strong
December -0.19%
37%
Very Weak

Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF 2026 vs Historical Pattern

Current Position
40.8
Historical Avg Position
44.38
Deviation
-3.58
Performance
On Track

Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF Interactive Seasonality Chart

Interactive Seasonality Chart

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Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF Pattern Scanner

Pattern Scanner

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Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF Seasonal Historical Performance

Historical Performance

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About Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF (BLV) Seasonality

Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF (BLV) has been analyzed using 20 years of historical data to identify seasonal patterns. Classified under ETFs, Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF shows distinct seasonal tendencies based on historical data.

The strongest month for Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF is historically July, with an average return of 1.73% and a win rate of 79%. Conversely, October tends to be the weakest month, averaging -1.48% return.

Looking at the full calendar year, Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF has an average annual return of 4.01% with an overall monthly win rate of 57.6%. Out of 12 months, 8 typically show positive average returns.

The seasonal pattern for Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF has a consistency score of 36.7 (Poor), based on 20 years of data. Higher consistency means the seasonal pattern has been more reliable across different market conditions.

Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF Seasonality FAQ

What is the best month to buy Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF (BLV)?

Historically, July has been the best month for Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF, with an average return of 1.73% and a win rate of 79%. However, past performance does not guarantee future results.

What is the worst month for Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF (BLV)?

Based on historical data, October has been the weakest month for Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF, with an average return of -1.48%. This is a historical observation and does not guarantee future results.

How reliable is BLV seasonality data?

The seasonality analysis for Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF is based on 20 years of historical price data. While seasonal patterns can provide useful insights, they should be combined with other forms of analysis. Past patterns do not guarantee future performance.

How can I use Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF seasonality in my trading?

Use Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF (BLV) seasonality as one factor in your analysis. Identify historically strong and weak months, combine with other research methods. SeasOptima provides premium tools including interactive charts, pattern scanning, and historical performance data for deeper analysis.

More ETFs Seasonality Analysis

Statistical information based on historical data. Does not constitute investment advice or recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results.