S&P/TSX (^GSPTSE)
Seasonality Analysis
Canadian stock index
S&P/TSX Annual Seasonality Statistics
S&P/TSX Monthly Seasonality Performance
| Month | Avg Return | Win Rate | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 0.72% | Moderate | |
| February | 0.35% | Moderate | |
| March | -0.31% | Weak | |
| April | 0.99% | Moderate | |
| May | 0.83% | Moderate | |
| June | -0.61% | Weak | |
| July | 0.98% | Moderate | |
| August | 0.87% | Moderate | |
| September WORST | -1.27% | Weak | |
| October | -0.07% | Weak | |
| November BEST | 1.70% | Strong | |
| December | 0.71% | Moderate |
S&P/TSX 2026 vs Historical Pattern
S&P/TSX Interactive Seasonality Chart
S&P/TSX Pattern Scanner
S&P/TSX Seasonal Historical Performance
About S&P/TSX (^GSPTSE) Seasonality
S&P/TSX (^GSPTSE) has been analyzed using 27 years of historical data to identify seasonal patterns. Classified under Indices, S&P/TSX shows distinct seasonal tendencies based on historical data.
The strongest month for S&P/TSX is historically November, with an average return of 1.70% and a win rate of 77%. Conversely, September tends to be the weakest month, averaging -1.27% return.
Looking at the full calendar year, S&P/TSX has an average annual return of 4.88% with an overall monthly win rate of 61.8%. Out of 12 months, 8 typically show positive average returns.
The seasonal pattern for S&P/TSX has a consistency score of 37 (Poor), based on 27 years of data. Higher consistency means the seasonal pattern has been more reliable across different market conditions.
S&P/TSX Seasonality FAQ
What is the best month to buy S&P/TSX (^GSPTSE)?
Historically, November has been the best month for S&P/TSX, with an average return of 1.70% and a win rate of 77%. However, past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is the worst month for S&P/TSX (^GSPTSE)?
Based on historical data, September has been the weakest month for S&P/TSX, with an average return of -1.27%. This is a historical observation and does not guarantee future results.
How reliable is ^GSPTSE seasonality data?
The seasonality analysis for S&P/TSX is based on 27 years of historical price data. While seasonal patterns can provide useful insights, they should be combined with other forms of analysis. Past patterns do not guarantee future performance.
How can I use S&P/TSX seasonality in my trading?
Use S&P/TSX (^GSPTSE) seasonality as one factor in your analysis. Identify historically strong and weak months, combine with other research methods. SeasOptima provides premium tools including interactive charts, pattern scanning, and historical performance data for deeper analysis.