SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Seasonality Analysis
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Annual Seasonality Statistics
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Monthly Seasonality Performance
| Month | Avg Return | Win Rate | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | -0.22% | Weak | |
| February | -0.79% | Weak | |
| March | 0.31% | Moderate | |
| April | 1.74% | Strong | |
| May | 0.61% | Moderate | |
| June | -0.42% | Weak | |
| July | 1.27% | Moderate | |
| August | 0.48% | Moderate | |
| September WORST | -1.38% | Weak | |
| October | 1.09% | Moderate | |
| November BEST | 2.13% | Strong | |
| December | 0.33% | Moderate |
SPDR S&P 500 ETF 2026 vs Historical Pattern
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Interactive Seasonality Chart
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Pattern Scanner
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Seasonal Historical Performance
About SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Seasonality
SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) has been analyzed using 27 years of historical data to identify seasonal patterns. Classified under ETFs, SPDR S&P 500 ETF shows distinct seasonal tendencies based on historical data.
The strongest month for SPDR S&P 500 ETF is historically November, with an average return of 2.13% and a win rate of 73%. Conversely, September tends to be the weakest month, averaging -1.38% return.
Looking at the full calendar year, SPDR S&P 500 ETF has an average annual return of 5.14% with an overall monthly win rate of 60.2%. Out of 12 months, 8 typically show positive average returns.
The seasonal pattern for SPDR S&P 500 ETF has a consistency score of 46.9 (Poor), based on 27 years of data. Higher consistency means the seasonal pattern has been more reliable across different market conditions.
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Seasonality FAQ
What is the best month to buy SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)?
Historically, November has been the best month for SPDR S&P 500 ETF, with an average return of 2.13% and a win rate of 73%. However, past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is the worst month for SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)?
Based on historical data, September has been the weakest month for SPDR S&P 500 ETF, with an average return of -1.38%. This is a historical observation and does not guarantee future results.
How reliable is SPY seasonality data?
The seasonality analysis for SPDR S&P 500 ETF is based on 27 years of historical price data. While seasonal patterns can provide useful insights, they should be combined with other forms of analysis. Past patterns do not guarantee future performance.
How can I use SPDR S&P 500 ETF seasonality in my trading?
Use SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) seasonality as one factor in your analysis. Identify historically strong and weak months, combine with other research methods. SeasOptima provides premium tools including interactive charts, pattern scanning, and historical performance data for deeper analysis.