S&P 500 (^GSPC)
Seasonality Analysis
US large-cap index
S&P 500 Annual Seasonality Statistics
S&P 500 Monthly Seasonality Performance
| Month | Avg Return | Win Rate | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | -0.28% | Weak | |
| February | -1.00% | Weak | |
| March | 0.60% | Moderate | |
| April | 1.59% | Strong | |
| May | 0.39% | Moderate | |
| June | -0.11% | Weak | |
| July | 1.16% | Moderate | |
| August | 0.29% | Moderate | |
| September WORST | -1.07% | Weak | |
| October | 1.12% | Moderate | |
| November BEST | 1.92% | Strong | |
| December | 0.79% | Moderate |
S&P 500 2026 vs Historical Pattern
S&P 500 Interactive Seasonality Chart
S&P 500 Pattern Scanner
S&P 500 Seasonal Historical Performance
About S&P 500 (^GSPC) Seasonality
S&P 500 (^GSPC) has been analyzed using 27 years of historical data to identify seasonal patterns. Classified under Indices, S&P 500 shows distinct seasonal tendencies based on historical data.
The strongest month for S&P 500 is historically November, with an average return of 1.92% and a win rate of 65%. Conversely, September tends to be the weakest month, averaging -1.07% return.
Looking at the full calendar year, S&P 500 has an average annual return of 5.41% with an overall monthly win rate of 58.9%. Out of 12 months, 8 typically show positive average returns.
The seasonal pattern for S&P 500 has a consistency score of 46.2 (Poor), based on 27 years of data. Higher consistency means the seasonal pattern has been more reliable across different market conditions.
S&P 500 Seasonality FAQ
What is the best month to buy S&P 500 (^GSPC)?
Historically, November has been the best month for S&P 500, with an average return of 1.92% and a win rate of 65%. However, past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is the worst month for S&P 500 (^GSPC)?
Based on historical data, September has been the weakest month for S&P 500, with an average return of -1.07%. This is a historical observation and does not guarantee future results.
How reliable is ^GSPC seasonality data?
The seasonality analysis for S&P 500 is based on 27 years of historical price data. While seasonal patterns can provide useful insights, they should be combined with other forms of analysis. Past patterns do not guarantee future performance.
How can I use S&P 500 seasonality in my trading?
Use S&P 500 (^GSPC) seasonality as one factor in your analysis. Identify historically strong and weak months, combine with other research methods. SeasOptima provides premium tools including interactive charts, pattern scanning, and historical performance data for deeper analysis.