Merval (^MERV)
Seasonality Analysis
Merval Annual Seasonality Statistics
Merval Monthly Seasonality Performance
| Month | Avg Return | Win Rate | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| January BEST | 7.29% | Strong | |
| February WORST | -2.94% | Very Weak | |
| March | 1.33% | Moderate | |
| April | 1.41% | Moderate | |
| May | 2.29% | Strong | |
| June | 1.49% | Weak | |
| July | 3.54% | Moderate | |
| August | 1.78% | Weak | |
| September | 3.03% | Strong | |
| October | 6.70% | Very Strong | |
| November | 2.07% | Moderate | |
| December | 5.64% | Strong |
Merval 2026 vs Historical Pattern
Merval Interactive Seasonality Chart
Merval Pattern Scanner
Merval Seasonal Historical Performance
About Merval (^MERV) Seasonality
Merval (^MERV) has been analyzed using 27 years of historical data to identify seasonal patterns. Classified under Indices, Merval shows distinct seasonal tendencies based on historical data.
The strongest month for Merval is historically January, with an average return of 7.29% and a win rate of 63%. Conversely, February tends to be the weakest month, averaging -2.94% return.
Looking at the full calendar year, Merval has an average annual return of 33.64% with an overall monthly win rate of 55.2%. Out of 12 months, 11 typically show positive average returns.
The seasonal pattern for Merval has a consistency score of 37.6 (Poor), based on 27 years of data. Higher consistency means the seasonal pattern has been more reliable across different market conditions.
Merval Seasonality FAQ
What is the best month to buy Merval (^MERV)?
Historically, January has been the best month for Merval, with an average return of 7.29% and a win rate of 63%. However, past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is the worst month for Merval (^MERV)?
Based on historical data, February has been the weakest month for Merval, with an average return of -2.94%. This is a historical observation and does not guarantee future results.
How reliable is ^MERV seasonality data?
The seasonality analysis for Merval is based on 27 years of historical price data. While seasonal patterns can provide useful insights, they should be combined with other forms of analysis. Past patterns do not guarantee future performance.
How can I use Merval seasonality in my trading?
Use Merval (^MERV) seasonality as one factor in your analysis. Identify historically strong and weak months, combine with other research methods. SeasOptima provides premium tools including interactive charts, pattern scanning, and historical performance data for deeper analysis.