Heating Oil (HO=F)
Seasonality Analysis
Heating oil futures
Heating Oil Annual Seasonality Statistics
Heating Oil Monthly Seasonality Performance
| Month | Avg Return | Win Rate | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1.93% | Strong | |
| February BEST | 4.60% | Strong | |
| March | 1.96% | Weak | |
| April | 2.36% | Moderate | |
| May | 0.74% | Weak | |
| June | 2.43% | Strong | |
| July | 0.10% | Moderate | |
| August | 1.99% | Weak | |
| September | 0.20% | Weak | |
| October | -1.00% | Very Weak | |
| November WORST | -1.84% | Weak | |
| December | -0.77% | Weak |
Heating Oil 2026 vs Historical Pattern
Heating Oil Interactive Seasonality Chart
Heating Oil Pattern Scanner
Heating Oil Seasonal Historical Performance
About Heating Oil (HO=F) Seasonality
Heating Oil (HO=F) has been analyzed using 26 years of historical data to identify seasonal patterns. Classified under Commodities, Heating Oil shows distinct seasonal tendencies based on historical data.
The strongest month for Heating Oil is historically February, with an average return of 4.60% and a win rate of 62%. Conversely, November tends to be the weakest month, averaging -1.84% return.
Looking at the full calendar year, Heating Oil has an average annual return of 12.71% with an overall monthly win rate of 52.0%. Out of 12 months, 9 typically show positive average returns.
The seasonal pattern for Heating Oil has a consistency score of 44.8 (Poor), based on 27 years of data. Higher consistency means the seasonal pattern has been more reliable across different market conditions.
Heating Oil Seasonality FAQ
What is the best month to buy Heating Oil (HO=F)?
Historically, February has been the best month for Heating Oil, with an average return of 4.60% and a win rate of 62%. However, past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is the worst month for Heating Oil (HO=F)?
Based on historical data, November has been the weakest month for Heating Oil, with an average return of -1.84%. This is a historical observation and does not guarantee future results.
How reliable is HO=F seasonality data?
The seasonality analysis for Heating Oil is based on 26 years of historical price data. While seasonal patterns can provide useful insights, they should be combined with other forms of analysis. Past patterns do not guarantee future performance.
How can I use Heating Oil seasonality in my trading?
Use Heating Oil (HO=F) seasonality as one factor in your analysis. Identify historically strong and weak months, combine with other research methods. SeasOptima provides premium tools including interactive charts, pattern scanning, and historical performance data for deeper analysis.