Professional Seasonal Analysis for Trading

First Trust Merger Arbitrage ETF (MARB)

Seasonality Analysis

ETFs 7 Years Analyzed

First Trust Merger Arbitrage ETF Annual Seasonality Statistics

0.15%
Avg Annual Return
55.4%
Avg Monthly Win Rate
6/12
Positive Months
7
Years Analyzed

First Trust Merger Arbitrage ETF Monthly Seasonality Performance

Month Avg Return Win Rate Strength
January -0.25%
50%
Weak
February 0.17%
57%
Moderate
March -0.23%
86%
Weak
April 0.37%
71%
Moderate
May -0.37%
67%
Weak
June -0.14%
33%
Very Weak
July 0.40%
50%
Weak
August BEST 0.47%
67%
Moderate
September WORST -0.62%
50%
Weak
October 0.24%
50%
Weak
November 0.24%
67%
Moderate
December -0.12%
17%
Very Weak

First Trust Merger Arbitrage ETF 2026 vs Historical Pattern

Current Position
100
Historical Avg Position
50.9
Deviation
+49.1
Performance
Significantly Above Average

First Trust Merger Arbitrage ETF Interactive Seasonality Chart

Interactive Seasonality Chart

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First Trust Merger Arbitrage ETF Pattern Scanner

Pattern Scanner

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First Trust Merger Arbitrage ETF Seasonal Historical Performance

Historical Performance

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About First Trust Merger Arbitrage ETF (MARB) Seasonality

First Trust Merger Arbitrage ETF (MARB) has been analyzed using 7 years of historical data to identify seasonal patterns. Classified under ETFs, First Trust Merger Arbitrage ETF shows distinct seasonal tendencies based on historical data.

The strongest month for First Trust Merger Arbitrage ETF is historically August, with an average return of 0.47% and a win rate of 67%. Conversely, September tends to be the weakest month, averaging -0.62% return.

Looking at the full calendar year, First Trust Merger Arbitrage ETF has an average annual return of 0.15% with an overall monthly win rate of 55.4%. Out of 12 months, 6 typically show positive average returns.

The seasonal pattern for First Trust Merger Arbitrage ETF has a consistency score of 63 (Good), based on 7 years of data. Higher consistency means the seasonal pattern has been more reliable across different market conditions.

First Trust Merger Arbitrage ETF Seasonality FAQ

What is the best month to buy First Trust Merger Arbitrage ETF (MARB)?

Historically, August has been the best month for First Trust Merger Arbitrage ETF, with an average return of 0.47% and a win rate of 67%. However, past performance does not guarantee future results.

What is the worst month for First Trust Merger Arbitrage ETF (MARB)?

Based on historical data, September has been the weakest month for First Trust Merger Arbitrage ETF, with an average return of -0.62%. This is a historical observation and does not guarantee future results.

How reliable is MARB seasonality data?

The seasonality analysis for First Trust Merger Arbitrage ETF is based on 7 years of historical price data. While seasonal patterns can provide useful insights, they should be combined with other forms of analysis. Past patterns do not guarantee future performance.

How can I use First Trust Merger Arbitrage ETF seasonality in my trading?

Use First Trust Merger Arbitrage ETF (MARB) seasonality as one factor in your analysis. Identify historically strong and weak months, combine with other research methods. SeasOptima provides premium tools including interactive charts, pattern scanning, and historical performance data for deeper analysis.

More ETFs Seasonality Analysis

Statistical information based on historical data. Does not constitute investment advice or recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results.