Bovespa (^BVSP)

Seasonality Analysis

Indices 31 Years Analyzed

Brazilian stock index

Bovespa Annual Seasonality Statistics

9.80%
Avg Annual Return
54.9%
Avg Monthly Win Rate
9/12
Positive Months
31
Years Analyzed

Bovespa Monthly Seasonality Performance

Month Avg Return Win Rate Strength
January 1.54%
40%
Weak
February 1.04%
50%
Weak
March 0.79%
50%
Weak
April 1.31%
63%
Moderate
May WORST -1.06%
45%
Weak
June 0.13%
57%
Moderate
July 0.76%
57%
Moderate
August -0.34%
53%
Weak
September -0.52%
53%
Weak
October 1.23%
63%
Moderate
November 2.15%
53%
Moderate
December BEST 2.78%
73%
Strong

Bovespa 2026 vs Historical Pattern

Current Position
41.11
Historical Avg Position
45.33
Deviation
-4.22
Performance
On Track

Bovespa Interactive Seasonality Chart

Interactive Seasonality Chart

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Bovespa Pattern Scanner

Pattern Scanner

Discover recurring patterns, anomalies, and statistically frequent setups.

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Bovespa Seasonal Historical Performance

Historical Performance

See historical average returns for ^BVSP across multiple timeframes.

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About Bovespa (^BVSP) Seasonality

Brazil's Bovespa shows a year-end pattern over 31 years: December (+2.78%, positive 73% of years) is clearly its best month, with November also firm, while May has been the soft spot. The index averaged +9.88% annually in local-currency terms, high among the major indices but partly reflecting Brazil's higher inflation. Consistency score 37 ("Poor").

Bovespa Seasonality FAQ

What is the best month to buy Bovespa (^BVSP)?

Historically, December has been the best month for Bovespa, with an average return of 2.78% and a win rate of 73%. However, past performance does not guarantee future results.

What is the worst month for Bovespa (^BVSP)?

Based on historical data, May has been the weakest month for Bovespa, with an average return of -1.06%. This is a historical observation and does not guarantee future results.

How reliable is ^BVSP seasonality data?

The seasonality analysis for Bovespa is based on 31 years of historical price data. While seasonal patterns can provide useful insights, they should be combined with other forms of analysis. Past patterns do not guarantee future performance.

How can I use Bovespa seasonality in my trading?

Use Bovespa (^BVSP) seasonality as one factor in your analysis. Identify historically strong and weak months, combine with other research methods. SeasOptima provides premium tools including interactive charts, pattern scanning, and historical performance data for deeper analysis.

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