ASX 200 (^AXJO)
Seasonality Analysis
Australian stock index
ASX 200 Annual Seasonality Statistics
ASX 200 Monthly Seasonality Performance
| Month | Avg Return | Win Rate | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 0.19% | Moderate | |
| February | 0.00% | Moderate | |
| March | -0.25% | Weak | |
| April | 1.34% | Moderate | |
| May | -0.23% | Weak | |
| June | -0.22% | Weak | |
| July BEST | 1.81% | Strong | |
| August | 0.38% | Moderate | |
| September WORST | -1.20% | Weak | |
| October | 1.03% | Moderate | |
| November | 0.45% | Moderate | |
| December | 0.95% | Moderate |
ASX 200 2026 vs Historical Pattern
ASX 200 Interactive Seasonality Chart
ASX 200 Pattern Scanner
ASX 200 Seasonal Historical Performance
About ASX 200 (^AXJO) Seasonality
ASX 200 (^AXJO) has been analyzed using 27 years of historical data to identify seasonal patterns. Classified under Indices, ASX 200 shows distinct seasonal tendencies based on historical data.
The strongest month for ASX 200 is historically July, with an average return of 1.81% and a win rate of 65%. Conversely, September tends to be the weakest month, averaging -1.20% return.
Looking at the full calendar year, ASX 200 has an average annual return of 4.25% with an overall monthly win rate of 57.6%. Out of 12 months, 8 typically show positive average returns.
The seasonal pattern for ASX 200 has a consistency score of 41.2 (Poor), based on 27 years of data. Higher consistency means the seasonal pattern has been more reliable across different market conditions.
ASX 200 Seasonality FAQ
What is the best month to buy ASX 200 (^AXJO)?
Historically, July has been the best month for ASX 200, with an average return of 1.81% and a win rate of 65%. However, past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is the worst month for ASX 200 (^AXJO)?
Based on historical data, September has been the weakest month for ASX 200, with an average return of -1.20%. This is a historical observation and does not guarantee future results.
How reliable is ^AXJO seasonality data?
The seasonality analysis for ASX 200 is based on 27 years of historical price data. While seasonal patterns can provide useful insights, they should be combined with other forms of analysis. Past patterns do not guarantee future performance.
How can I use ASX 200 seasonality in my trading?
Use ASX 200 (^AXJO) seasonality as one factor in your analysis. Identify historically strong and weak months, combine with other research methods. SeasOptima provides premium tools including interactive charts, pattern scanning, and historical performance data for deeper analysis.